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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.29vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.59vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.67+1.35vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+0.77vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73-2.41vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.69-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Penn State University1.1333.8%1st Place
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2.59Virginia Tech0.7325.9%1st Place
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4.35William and Mary-0.675.9%1st Place
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4.77American University-0.864.1%1st Place
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2.59Christopher Newport University0.7324.9%1st Place
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4.41University of Maryland-0.695.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 33.8% | 26.5% | 22.9% | 11.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Young | 25.9% | 25.1% | 24.2% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Julia Hudson | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 21.3% | 26.8% | 26.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 16.2% | 26.5% | 40.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 24.9% | 27.2% | 23.5% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 27.8% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.