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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+3.79vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.49+6.42vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.31+2.67vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.40vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+5.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.86vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.84+2.91vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.22+3.61vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44-1.23vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.47-5.88vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.64vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.49vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-1.84vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.29-9.27vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.84-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.49Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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11.91Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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13.61McGill University0.220.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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14.49Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.16Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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6.73Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 21.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 37.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.