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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+6.03vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+4.55vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.72vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-2.16vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.31-1.50vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-1.20vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49-0.58vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.59vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76+0.04vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.64vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.46vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.22-1.47vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.84-4.13vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.36-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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4.75Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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9.55Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.84Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.8Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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14.46Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.53McGill University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.87Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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13.26Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 7.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 37.6% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 22.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.