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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+2.91vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+3.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+3.55vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.31+1.46vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+3.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.84+3.53vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.22+4.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.04vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-4.74vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-0.92vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.60vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-1.88vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.55vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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4.91Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.46Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.53Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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13.75McGill University0.220.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.68Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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13.12Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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14.45Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.5% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 21.2% | 23.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 18.4% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 36.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.