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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+3.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+3.36vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.57+6.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.73+1.52vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+2.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+2.12vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.50-1.81vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.52+0.36vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.14+0.54vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-4.81vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.92-3.67vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.60-3.61vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-7.38vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.77-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.36Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.95Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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10.36Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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7.19Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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10.39Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 17.4% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 20.6% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% |
| Ella Demand | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 27.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 14.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.