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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+3.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+2.37vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56-0.03vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50+2.10vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.60+4.10vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.73-0.52vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+1.66vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.57+1.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.14+0.54vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-4.85vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.05vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-4.69vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.52-4.61vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.77-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.37Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.97Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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10.1Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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7.15Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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10.39Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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6.23Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 18.4% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 20.9% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.9% |
| Ella Demand | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 25.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.