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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.25vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+0.55vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.33vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.69-0.54vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.67-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Penn State University1.1333.3%1st Place
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2.55Christopher Newport University0.7327.5%1st Place
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2.67Virginia Tech0.7323.2%1st Place
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4.7American University-0.864.8%1st Place
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4.46University of Maryland-0.695.5%1st Place
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4.36William and Mary-0.675.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 33.3% | 30.2% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 27.5% | 24.6% | 23.1% | 16.9% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Aidan Young | 23.2% | 24.9% | 25.8% | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 16.4% | 26.4% | 38.8% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 27.5% | 30.2% |
| Julia Hudson | 5.8% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 28.0% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.