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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.33+4.55vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+3.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.93vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+4.89vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-0.37vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.67+2.12vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+5.60vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-0.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.69vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.59-1.85vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-4.47vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.00-1.59vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.10-6.48vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.59-2.08vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.69-0.72vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.25-3.05vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.22-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.63Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.12Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.590.0%1st Place
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6.53Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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6.52Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.92Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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14.28Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.95Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 12.4% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.4% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 13.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Chase Decker | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 38.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 16.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.