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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.53+6.83vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+5.88vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+3.12vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.59+6.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-1.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12-2.04vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.00+1.16vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.60vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05-4.63vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.69+2.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.22-0.31vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-1.50vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-4.24vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.25-3.35vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.59-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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4.33Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.12Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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14.13Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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12.5Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.65Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.3% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 12.1% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 35.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 13.4% |
| Jack Flores | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% |
| Chase Decker | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.