← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.81+5.85vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.41vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.30+5.85vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.64+0.52vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.25+7.39vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.77+5.03vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.00+3.01vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.53-0.05vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.05-2.62vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.12-4.11vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.59+0.49vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.23-6.27vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.31-0.53vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.22-1.27vs Predicted
-
15Fairfield University0.69-0.89vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College2.59-8.07vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-9.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.85Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.85Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
-
4.52Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
12.39Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
11.03Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
10.01Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
-
7.95Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
-
6.38Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.89Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
11.49Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
5.73University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
12.47Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
12.73University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
14.11Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
7.93Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
-
7.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| Jack Flores | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 35.9% |
| Chase Decker | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.