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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+3.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.18vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.25+8.57vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.59+2.71vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.30+3.10vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.64-2.64vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.53-0.06vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.05-2.61vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-3.02vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-4.85vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.27+0.50vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-2.06vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.00-3.82vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-2.68vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-1.78vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.59-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.57Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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4.36Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.94Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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6.39Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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10.94Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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12.32Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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14.22Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| Chase Decker | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 15.3% |
| Jack Flores | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 13.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 36.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.