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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.31+6.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.24+4.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42-0.35vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+2.50vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+3.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.01+2.90vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+2.12vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University0.54+2.19vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.70-0.48vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.58+0.23vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.26-3.84vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-1.36vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.54-0.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-3.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy-0.69-1.58vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.12-5.16vs Predicted
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18Clemson University0.12-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Roger Williams University1.316.8%1st Place
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6.96Brown University1.245.8%1st Place
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2.65Yale University2.4235.1%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University1.738.6%1st Place
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8.23Northeastern University1.184.6%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University1.014.3%1st Place
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9.12George Washington University1.074.0%1st Place
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10.19Georgetown University0.542.9%1st Place
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8.52Jacksonville University0.703.9%1st Place
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10.23Rollins College0.583.1%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston1.266.7%1st Place
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12.34Christopher Newport University-0.842.2%1st Place
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11.64University of Vermont0.242.2%1st Place
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13.54Northwestern University-0.541.2%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.6%1st Place
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14.42U. S. Naval Academy-0.690.9%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island0.121.6%1st Place
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10.21Clemson University0.123.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 35.1% | 22.6% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Alexa Shea | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Fiona Froelich | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 19.1% |
| Meara Conley | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Josephine Sherry | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 32.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% |
| Ashton Loring | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.