← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston4.61+3.84vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+4.47vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.54+5.99vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.92+3.53vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.68+3.24vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.29+4.10vs Predicted
-
7Boston College4.43-1.40vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.50+0.93vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.80+2.96vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.82vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.93+0.38vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.79-0.20vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.76-4.79vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College3.83-6.10vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-6.27vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.05vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University3.67-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.84College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
-
6.47St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
-
8.99Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
-
7.53University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.24Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
10.1Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
-
5.6Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
8.93Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
11.96University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
-
13.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
-
11.38University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
-
11.8University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
-
8.21Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
-
7.9Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
-
8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
-
8.53Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.1% |
| Jamie Curran | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 34.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.