← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.60+0.90vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech-0.25+0.56vs Predicted
-
3American University-0.66+0.28vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary-1.76+0.65vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-1.01-1.22vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-1.87-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.9Christopher Newport University0.6046.1%1st Place
-
2.56Virginia Tech-0.2524.7%1st Place
-
3.28American University-0.6613.2%1st Place
-
4.65William and Mary-1.764.0%1st Place
-
3.78Penn State University-1.018.4%1st Place
-
4.84University of Maryland-1.873.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 46.1% | 29.3% | 15.9% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 24.7% | 28.0% | 24.2% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 1.3% |
| James Cottage | 13.2% | 17.9% | 23.5% | 24.9% | 14.4% | 6.1% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 28.4% | 35.5% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.4% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 25.2% | 23.5% | 11.8% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 24.9% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.