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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+3.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+6.02vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.37+6.42vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+3.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.25+1.35vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.12+7.77vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49-1.75vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10-2.42vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.74+1.66vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.59-2.39vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-5.64vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.83-5.08vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.62-2.10vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.50-5.90vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.7Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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14.77Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.25Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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12.66Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.92Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.9Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 19.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| William Kulas | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jane Matthews | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 17.8% | 47.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 16.8% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.