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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+5.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.69vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.25+4.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+3.29vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+3.33vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+1.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.02vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+0.56vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.59+0.82vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.49-3.72vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.03-6.28vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.32-1.43vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.50-2.87vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-3.40vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.74-2.44vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.12-1.10vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.62-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.69Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.56Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.82Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.72Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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10.57University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.56Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.9Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.99Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Ben Sheppard | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.9% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 3.6% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 15.2% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 49.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.