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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+4.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+5.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+1.58vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.25+3.28vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37+5.26vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+0.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.84vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49-2.52vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.83-1.43vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-2.34vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.74+0.56vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62+0.05vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.12+0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.32-4.35vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.50-5.87vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.59-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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4.58Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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7.28Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.48Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.57Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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12.56Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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13.05Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.86Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.72Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.0% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| William Kulas | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 13.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 16.6% | 49.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Ben Sheppard | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.