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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+3.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.83+6.67vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.25+4.17vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.59+5.62vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+1.19vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+1.35vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38-0.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+0.36vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.50+1.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.37+0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32-0.24vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-4.33vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.89vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.63-8.11vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.12-0.25vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.74-3.25vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.62-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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8.67Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.62Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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14.75Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.75Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.96Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 18.2% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Sheppard | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Mason Stang | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 48.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 14.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.