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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+4.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.25+5.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+5.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+0.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+2.07vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.38+4.52vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38-0.31vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+0.54vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+1.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.49-3.81vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.59-1.32vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-4.43vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.620.00vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.96vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.23-4.14vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.12-1.12vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.74-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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4.61Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.54Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.68Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.86Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.88Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.59Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.3% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Ben Sheppard | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 17.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| William Hurd | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 47.3% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.