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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+5.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.83+6.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+2.79vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+2.76vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+3.33vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.49+0.51vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03-2.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.38+1.65vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.50-0.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-3.58vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.62+0.99vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.74-0.32vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-6.12vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-4.53vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.59-6.33vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.12-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.71Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.79Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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6.51Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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12.99Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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12.68Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.67Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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14.93Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Mason Stang | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.8% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 18.8% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 14.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 3.3% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 16.6% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.