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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+5.98vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+2.54vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.50+6.94vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.83+4.75vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.59+4.49vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.74+6.79vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+0.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.81vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-2.08vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-3.15vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.38-1.58vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-2.29vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62-0.93vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.63-9.19vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-9.61vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.12-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.75Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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12.79Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.07Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.81Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.39Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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14.92Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.9% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 15.7% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 17.2% |
| Mason Stang | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.