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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+5.72vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.49+3.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+5.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+1.65vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.59+4.30vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+0.42vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+1.19vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+0.24vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+1.00vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.50-0.37vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.03-6.67vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.74+0.08vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32-2.82vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62-1.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-6.90vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.38-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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5.97Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.65Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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6.42Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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4.33Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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12.08Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Mason Stang | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 19.1% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 24.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 28.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.