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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+0.92vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.25+0.49vs Predicted
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3American University-0.66+0.34vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.87-0.16vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.76-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Christopher Newport University0.6044.9%1st Place
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2.49Virginia Tech-0.2525.6%1st Place
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3.34American University-0.6611.6%1st Place
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3.82Penn State University-1.019.3%1st Place
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4.84University of Maryland-1.873.5%1st Place
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4.58William and Mary-1.765.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 44.9% | 30.1% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 25.6% | 29.5% | 23.7% | 14.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| James Cottage | 11.6% | 17.6% | 25.0% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 6.2% |
| Nathan Mascia | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 25.2% | 24.3% | 12.7% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 23.8% | 45.3% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 27.9% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.