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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.83+7.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.53vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.49+3.01vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.25+2.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+1.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+2.11vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03-2.52vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.74+0.57vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-0.95vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.59-0.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.38-1.10vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37-1.93vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62-0.55vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.32-3.93vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.74-2.76vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.50-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.53Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.01Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.45Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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12.24Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Mason Stang | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 18.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| William Kulas | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 29.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 24.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.