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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.18+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.09+2.10vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-0.65-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.08-0.98vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.47+0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.73-0.34vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-5.16+0.73vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-2.30-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Northwestern University1.330.6%1st Place
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3.57University of Chicago-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Minnesota-1.080.1%1st Place
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7.36Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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9.73Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
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7.09Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 55.2% | 25.2% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 11.7% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 11.1% | 23.1% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Johansen | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 19.1% | 27.3% | 26.5% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 37.4% | 6.2% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 87.4% |
| Marguerite Eno | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 25.0% | 24.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.