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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.18+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-1.08+2.12vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.47+3.35vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.10-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.09-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.73+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-0.65-3.74vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-5.16+0.74vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-2.30-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Northwestern University1.330.5%1st Place
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3.54University of Chicago-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Minnesota-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.35Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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3.4University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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4.26University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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9.74Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
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7.05Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 53.9% | 27.5% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 12.3% | 18.0% | 22.7% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Johansen | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bascoe | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 25.6% | 29.0% | 3.2% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 14.1% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John McCalmont | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 24.2% | 38.4% | 5.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 6.7% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 88.5% |
| Marguerite Eno | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 26.2% | 21.8% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.