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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.18+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.09+3.10vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-2.30+4.10vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-1.08+1.08vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.33-3.29vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-2.47+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.51vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.73-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-0.65-4.70vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Chicago-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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7.1Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Minnesota-1.080.0%1st Place
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1.71Northwestern University1.330.6%1st Place
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7.3Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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9.76Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 13.1% | 18.4% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Marguerite Eno | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 26.5% | 22.9% | 2.9% |
| Hayden Johansen | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Smith | 55.3% | 27.2% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bascoe | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 23.1% | 29.8% | 3.8% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 10.5% | 22.1% | 22.5% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 36.1% | 4.6% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 7.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.