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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+1.52vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.12-0.05vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.36+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08-0.60vs Predicted
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5American University-1.01-0.56vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.48-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Christopher Newport University0.6025.1%1st Place
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1.95Virginia Tech1.1244.4%1st Place
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3.7William and Mary-0.369.8%1st Place
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3.4University of Maryland-0.0812.6%1st Place
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4.44American University-1.014.8%1st Place
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4.99Penn State University-1.483.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 25.1% | 28.6% | 24.2% | 14.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Sam Springer | 44.4% | 29.2% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 24.9% | 21.9% | 11.4% |
| Jared Cohen | 12.6% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 22.9% | 18.6% | 7.4% |
| Ryan Curtis | 4.8% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 30.3% | 27.9% |
| Jack Springer | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 21.6% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.