Race 1B

nu-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Styslinger 54.9% 26.2% 11.5% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Ward 10.5% 17.2% 18.8% 17.4% 16.4% 10.2% 5.2% 3.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Varoon Enjeti 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 5.7% 6.2% 8.1% 12.7% 17.4% 21.0% 21.3%
Luke Sadalla 3.6% 7.2% 11.1% 13.8% 16.4% 16.9% 13.7% 9.8% 5.4% 2.1%
Alex Strassberg Alonso 7.4% 9.9% 12.8% 17.0% 16.7% 16.4% 9.1% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Connor Caplis 3.8% 5.4% 8.3% 9.2% 14.3% 14.0% 17.1% 13.5% 10.4% 4.0%
Fergus Munro 14.2% 24.8% 22.5% 17.9% 10.9% 5.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Annika Shah 1.2% 2.8% 4.0% 5.1% 6.8% 9.0% 14.6% 16.9% 18.6% 21.0%
Brady Boland 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 4.4% 5.1% 9.6% 13.3% 14.0% 21.3% 25.3%
Luiza Wernz Muller 1.1% 1.9% 4.3% 5.3% 4.9% 9.1% 11.9% 16.5% 19.7% 25.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.