Race 3B

nu-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Styslinger 55.5% 25.5% 11.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fergus Munro 15.5% 23.6% 22.7% 16.5% 11.7% 5.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Caplis 3.4% 5.8% 8.1% 8.6% 10.9% 16.9% 18.8% 12.8% 9.8% 4.9%
Rachel Ward 8.1% 19.1% 19.2% 20.3% 14.9% 9.2% 5.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Alex Strassberg Alonso 7.5% 9.4% 13.4% 16.2% 18.9% 14.8% 10.0% 6.1% 2.9% 0.8%
Luke Sadalla 5.2% 7.1% 11.9% 14.2% 15.4% 15.0% 13.2% 10.9% 5.6% 1.5%
Varoon Enjeti 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 6.0% 6.3% 9.9% 14.1% 18.2% 19.9% 20.0%
Brady Boland 1.2% 2.1% 4.0% 4.0% 7.2% 8.9% 10.5% 16.9% 21.3% 23.9%
Luiza Wernz Muller 1.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.4% 6.1% 10.5% 11.4% 14.2% 21.7% 24.8%
Annika Shah 1.1% 2.8% 3.8% 5.1% 6.7% 8.5% 12.9% 17.1% 18.1% 23.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.