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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.72+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.95+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.55+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.47+0.88vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.95+0.79vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-3.25+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.09-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-3.00-0.26vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.76-3.55vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-2.98-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76University of Wisconsin0.720.6%1st Place
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3.96University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
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3.32University of Minnesota-0.550.2%1st Place
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4.88University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
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5.79Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.16Northwestern University-3.250.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Michigan-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
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5.45Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.79Saginaw Valley State University-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Styslinger | 55.3% | 25.9% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 10.3% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Fergus Munro | 16.0% | 20.6% | 21.7% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 4.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Garrison Guzzeau | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 38.3% |
| Connor Caplis | 2.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 5.1% |
| Brady Boland | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 24.9% |
| Luke Sadalla | 4.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 23.6% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.