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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+1.52vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.12-0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+0.45vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.36-0.31vs Predicted
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5American University-1.01-0.57vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.48-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Christopher Newport University0.6025.8%1st Place
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1.97Virginia Tech1.1242.7%1st Place
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3.45University of Maryland-0.0812.2%1st Place
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3.69William and Mary-0.3611.1%1st Place
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4.43American University-1.015.2%1st Place
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4.95Penn State University-1.482.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 25.8% | 28.4% | 22.8% | 15.6% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Sam Springer | 42.7% | 30.8% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jared Cohen | 12.2% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 24.4% | 17.9% | 8.1% |
| Eric Johnson | 11.1% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 22.9% | 23.8% | 11.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 29.6% | 28.4% |
| Jack Springer | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 21.1% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.