← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.72+0.81vs Predicted
-
2University of Chicago-1.47+3.08vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota-0.55+0.42vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan-0.95+0.08vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-1.76+0.61vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan-2.09+0.28vs Predicted
-
7Saginaw Valley State University-2.98+1.09vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-2.19-1.53vs Predicted
-
9University of Saint Thomas-3.00-0.93vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University-1.95-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.81University of Wisconsin0.720.5%1st Place
-
5.08University of Chicago-1.470.1%1st Place
-
3.42University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
-
5.61Northwestern University-1.760.1%1st Place
-
6.28University of Michigan-2.090.0%1st Place
-
8.09Saginaw Valley State University-2.980.0%1st Place
-
6.47Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
-
8.07University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
-
6.08Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Styslinger | 53.2% | 26.2% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Fergus Munro | 14.3% | 21.0% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 8.2% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Luke Sadalla | 5.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Connor Caplis | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 7.6% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 22.4% | 34.8% |
| Azim Usmanov | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 9.1% |
| Brady Boland | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 37.2% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 3.0% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.