Race 10B

nu-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Styslinger 54.4% 25.2% 11.6% 5.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fergus Munro 15.0% 21.4% 20.7% 17.3% 12.3% 6.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Samantha Forgosh 3.5% 6.7% 7.2% 8.1% 11.0% 13.3% 16.0% 16.3% 11.6% 6.3%
Rachel Ward 8.1% 16.5% 18.4% 18.1% 15.2% 10.5% 6.8% 4.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Alex Strassberg Alonso 7.3% 8.8% 11.5% 13.9% 16.2% 14.7% 11.8% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9%
Azim Usmanov 3.5% 5.0% 6.5% 7.8% 9.2% 12.4% 14.1% 15.2% 16.8% 9.5%
Connor Caplis 2.1% 4.5% 7.8% 9.3% 10.3% 15.2% 14.2% 15.6% 12.9% 8.1%
Luke Sadalla 3.9% 7.8% 10.4% 12.1% 12.8% 13.3% 15.0% 11.7% 9.0% 4.0%
Luiza Wernz Muller 1.2% 2.1% 2.9% 3.6% 6.2% 6.7% 8.9% 11.5% 24.1% 32.8%
Brady Boland 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.6% 4.1% 6.5% 8.9% 13.7% 19.3% 36.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.