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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.47+6.02vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+4.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.71+5.65vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.71vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.18+3.03vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.64+0.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-0.28vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.42-0.67vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University2.11-6.76vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.58-6.27vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-2.31vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.12-0.87vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-1.01-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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7.53University of Washington1.320.0%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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4.11Stanford University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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6.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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11.03University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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9.68Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.0%1st Place
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10.33California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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5.24San Diego State University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.73Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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11.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.13Santa Clara University-1.120.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 15.5% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 16.6% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 15.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 4.5% |
| Juan Casal | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Colin Olson | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 7.6% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 22.4% | 43.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 24.5% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.