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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+6.35vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+2.32vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University2.11+2.06vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.58+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.71+4.41vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47+1.08vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.54vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.87-4.19vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.42-0.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.18-1.00vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.64-3.45vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.120.00vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-3.23vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-1.01-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35University of Washington1.320.0%1st Place
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4.32University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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5.06San Diego State University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.75Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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6.2California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.0%1st Place
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5.81Stanford University1.870.1%1st Place
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10.23California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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9.55Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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14.0Santa Clara University-1.120.0%1st Place
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11.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.0% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 12.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Luke Harris | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 19.7% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Sih | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 6.1% |
| Juan Casal | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 22.6% | 39.6% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 9.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 24.2% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.