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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+1.08vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.36+1.34vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.25-0.18vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.87+0.13vs Predicted
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6American University-0.66-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Christopher Newport University0.6041.5%1st Place
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3.34William and Mary-0.3613.7%1st Place
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2.82Virginia Tech-0.2520.6%1st Place
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4.08Penn State University-1.018.2%1st Place
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5.13University of Maryland-1.873.4%1st Place
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3.56American University-0.6612.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 41.5% | 27.2% | 17.8% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Eric Johnson | 13.7% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 22.6% | 16.6% | 7.8% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 20.6% | 25.3% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 28.9% | 19.4% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 59.9% |
| James Cottage | 12.6% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 22.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.