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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.85+5.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.64+5.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.10+3.80vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.08-3.42vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University1.23-2.45vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+1.79vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.03-3.69vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.43-2.90vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-2.32vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.75-1.40vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.46-3.28vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.98-0.75vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.58Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.55San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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10.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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9.68California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.6Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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14.25Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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14.43California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.9% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whidden | 23.4% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Everett McAvoy | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 5.0% |
| Emily Avey | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 26.6% | 41.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 26.0% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.