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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.85+5.68vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.03+3.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.64+3.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+2.79vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.08-2.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.10+2.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-3.83vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University1.23-3.36vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-0.33vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48-0.24vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.43-3.86vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.46-2.25vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.75-2.48vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.98-0.74vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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3.58Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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9.75University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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5.64San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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9.67California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.52Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.26Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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14.47California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.7% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whidden | 21.3% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.3% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Parker Ziegler | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Maxwell Miller | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 2.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 5.1% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 10.9% | 28.6% | 40.8% |
| Brent Lin | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 24.0% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.