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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+2.42vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+7.55vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+2.03vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.23+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.03+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-1.70vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.43+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.10+1.63vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.75+2.57vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University-1.98+4.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.64-3.59vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.85-5.21vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.46-2.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-6.37vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48-4.02vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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9.55California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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5.82San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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8.18University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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9.63University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.57Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.21Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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6.79Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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10.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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14.47California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 23.7% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 12.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 5.2% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 28.5% | 40.2% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Parker Ziegler | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Brent Lin | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 25.0% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.