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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+2.24vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.23+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.10+4.73vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.43+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.46+2.70vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University-1.98+5.18vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.75+1.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-3.24vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48-1.15vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.85-6.28vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-2.08+0.37vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-5.26vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.03-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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5.67San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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9.73University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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14.18Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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11.65Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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10.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.72Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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14.37California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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9.74California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 24.8% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.9% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Maxwell Miller | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 27.2% | 40.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 13.0% | 6.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Parker Ziegler | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Adam Turloff | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 26.9% | 43.6% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Everett McAvoy | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.