← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.03+5.02vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+2.17vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.08+0.46vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.85+2.76vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.43+2.90vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.62vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California1.48-2.03vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.10+1.32vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University1.23-3.42vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+0.60vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.64-3.76vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-0.75-0.77vs Predicted
-
13California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-3.63vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-2.78+0.99vs Predicted
-
15Santa Clara University-1.98-1.07vs Predicted
-
16University of Oregon-1.38-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.02University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
-
4.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
-
3.46Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
-
6.76Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
-
7.9University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
-
4.97University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
-
9.32University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
-
5.58San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
-
10.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
-
7.24University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
-
11.23Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
9.37California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
-
14.99California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
-
13.93Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
12.83University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett McAvoy | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.9% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whidden | 23.5% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 21.3% | 58.7% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 32.3% | 27.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 22.4% | 23.1% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.