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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+2.87vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.85+3.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.10+5.57vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.03+1.13vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.23-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.43+0.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-4.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-2.31vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-1.64vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48-1.46vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.75-1.76vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.98-0.21vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.78-0.02vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-1.38-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.87University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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6.65Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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9.57University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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5.66San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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4.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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9.36California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.24Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.79Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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14.98California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 23.4% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 13.9% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Everett McAvoy | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.4% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Parker Ziegler | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 1.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 18.4% | 31.7% | 22.6% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 20.4% | 62.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 22.9% | 23.0% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.