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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+1.07vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.36+1.29vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.25-0.20vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01+0.12vs Predicted
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5American University-0.66-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.87-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Christopher Newport University0.6041.1%1st Place
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3.29William and Mary-0.3614.4%1st Place
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2.8Virginia Tech-0.2521.9%1st Place
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4.12Penn State University-1.017.7%1st Place
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3.63American University-0.6611.9%1st Place
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5.08University of Maryland-1.872.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 41.1% | 27.8% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Eric Johnson | 14.4% | 17.9% | 22.2% | 22.1% | 16.1% | 7.2% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 21.9% | 23.8% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Mascia | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 29.2% | 20.3% |
| James Cottage | 11.9% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 11.5% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.