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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15+1.77vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-3.05+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-2.66-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-3.29-2.16vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-5.16-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.2%1st Place
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2.63Hamilton College-3.050.2%1st Place
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2.19University of Rochester-2.660.4%1st Place
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2.84University of Rochester-3.290.2%1st Place
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4.57Rochester Institute of Technology-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Feves | 20.1% | 22.8% | 25.4% | 23.0% | 8.7% |
| Reid Chapman | 22.8% | 24.0% | 25.6% | 23.0% | 4.6% |
| Asa Guldbrandsen | 36.5% | 26.9% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 2.4% |
| Will Sexter | 18.6% | 22.5% | 22.6% | 28.8% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Massengill | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.