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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.85vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+0.94vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.12+2.22vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.64+2.67vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.86+0.08vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.31+0.59vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.37+2.41vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.94-0.09vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26+0.95vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-1.14vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.10-0.54vs Predicted
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13Auburn University0.23-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.60-0.49vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.18-3.73vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-1.93-1.06vs Predicted
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18The Citadel0.20-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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2.94College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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5.22Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.67Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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5.01Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.08University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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7.59North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.41Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.91Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.0%1st Place
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9.86Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.46Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.1Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.51University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.27Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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15.94University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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11.24The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.1% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 28.2% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Simpson | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| May Proctor | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 25.5% | 13.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 6.7% |
| Rain Hong | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 67.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.