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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.83vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.31+5.31vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+3.45vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.64+2.42vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.66-1.29vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.12-0.89vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.94+1.57vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.37+2.16vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20+2.04vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.86-4.28vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-1.93+4.68vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-2.54vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.10-1.73vs Predicted
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14Duke University-1.25+0.59vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.60-1.93vs Predicted
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16Auburn University0.23-5.11vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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7.31North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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6.45Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.42Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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5.11Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.57Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.16Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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11.04The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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15.68University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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9.46Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.27Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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14.59Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.07University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.89Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 29.8% | 22.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 18.2% | 21.0% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 18.8% | 58.3% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 33.1% | 23.6% |
| May Proctor | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 9.1% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Simpson | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.