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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.67vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.64+3.34vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.37+6.35vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86+0.66vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.61+0.62vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+3.83vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+1.31vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.12-3.83vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.31-2.67vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.10+0.24vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.93+3.71vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.94-4.38vs Predicted
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14Auburn University0.23-3.09vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26-4.33vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.60-2.86vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.25-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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3.67University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.34Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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10.35Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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6.62Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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10.83The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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9.31Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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5.17Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.33North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.24Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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15.71University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.62Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.91Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.0%1st Place
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13.14University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.67Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 30.7% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.4% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Peter Foley | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Rain Hong | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 57.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Simpson | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| May Proctor | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 7.7% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 29.0% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.