← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida State University2.12+4.06vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.86+3.82vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.10-0.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.66-0.10vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.64+1.38vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University2.17-0.86vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University0.94+1.67vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel0.20+2.79vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26+1.88vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University1.31-2.53vs Predicted
-
11Auburn University0.23-0.02vs Predicted
-
12Wake Forest University0.10-0.74vs Predicted
-
13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-3.36vs Predicted
-
14Rollins College0.37-3.51vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina-0.60-1.89vs Predicted
-
16University of Central Florida-1.93-0.23vs Predicted
-
17Duke University-1.25-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.06Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
-
5.82University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
-
2.97College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
-
3.9University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
6.38Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
-
5.14Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
-
8.67Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
-
10.79The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.0%1st Place
-
7.47North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
-
10.98Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
-
11.26Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
-
9.64Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
-
10.49Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.11University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
-
15.77University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
-
14.67Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Foley | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 26.5% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 18.8% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.0% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Simpson | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| May Proctor | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 9.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 18.5% | 58.1% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 28.3% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.