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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.77vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+2.92vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.12+1.22vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.31+2.39vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.17-0.86vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.64-0.50vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.94+0.51vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+1.54vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.20+0.94vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.10+0.33vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-2.46vs Predicted
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13Auburn University0.23-2.05vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.93+1.72vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26-4.25vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.60-2.82vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.25-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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2.92College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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5.92University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.22Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.39North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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5.14Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.5Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.51Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.54Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.94The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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11.33Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.54Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.95Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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15.72University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.0%1st Place
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13.18University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.69Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 19.0% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 27.9% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Rain Hong | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 19.4% | 57.2% |
| Andrew Simpson | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| May Proctor | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 9.0% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 31.5% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.