← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.54+0.89vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.47+0.72vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University0.46+0.32vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.59vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-0.35vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-1.55-0.05vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-0.72-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.89Fordham University1.5445.1%1st Place
-
2.72Hampton University1.4722.2%1st Place
-
3.32Princeton University0.4615.2%1st Place
-
4.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.675.7%1st Place
-
4.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.615.1%1st Place
-
5.95Syracuse University-1.551.8%1st Place
-
4.88Rutgers University-0.724.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 45.1% | 30.6% | 16.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 22.2% | 26.1% | 23.8% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 15.2% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 14.8% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 13.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 21.9% | 13.7% |
| Faith Otoole | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 51.9% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 24.4% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.